Submit a new post

Posts

This is a place where anyone can engage with the ideas, thoughts, opinions, and topics of conversation proposed by members of The Uncertainty Project.

We encourage comments and debate!

Simple Frameworks from startups, growth hackers, software engineers, and more that help you make better decisions.

Read More

Thinking about the Value of Information

Read More

Skip the math, but keep the model

Read More

Scratching the surface of some big ideas

Read More

The dynamics of solutions in unique contexts and complex environments

Read More

Exploring decisions and uncertainty with Paul Krugman

Read More

Noise-cancellation headphones for the organization

Read More

Organizational behaviors that improve decision quality

Read More

Exploring the role of human and machine

Read More

Insights on organizational design from Herbert Simon

Read More

Applying new ideas to old ways

Read More

Exploring ideas at the crossroads between the rationality discourse, notions of complexity, and radical uncertainty

Read More

Some timeless principles from Don Reinertsen

Read More

We need intentional dialog

Read More

A modest proposal

Read More

A look at how organizations construct reality, apply meaning, and make decisions

Read More

3 challenges to help bring theory into practice

Read More

learnings from this year and predictions looking ahead

Read More

Common themes from the learning journey

Read More

Challenging your views, probabilistically

Read More
On Being Decision-Centric

November 20, 2023

Giving decisions a moment in the spotlight

Read More

Managing uncertainty with a learning matrix

Read More

Expanding on the product operations model with decision-centric approaches

Read More

The invisible force in your decision architecture

Read More

Carving out time for strategic thinking

Read More

A week in the life of a decision

Read More

The negative side-effects of goal-setting

Read More

'Effectual' reasoning, means vs ends, and the explore-exploit dilemma

Read More

Deconstructing portfolio management

Read More

Taking a deeper look at how OKRs influence strategic decision making (a multi-part series)

Read More

Rituals that can create new routines for leadership teams

Read More
360° Strategies

August 24, 2023

Integrating inclusive, exclusive, proven, and aspirational strategies

Read More

Exploring the principles of a decision-driven approach

Read More

Leading with questions, not looking for answers

Read More

Taking steps to limit accidental complexity in your organization

Read More

Summarizing some of the key learnings and major themes covered over the last six months

Read More

Many teams stumble through their decision making process because they don’t make time for discourse separated from the decision point.

Read More

Deciding how to decide when building strategy

Read More

Exploring the concept of behavioral nudges - subtle cues that influence behavior towards desirable outcomes by making specific options more attractive or convenient, while preserving the freedom to choose.

Read More

Taking advantage of inevitable change and adapting to improvisation

Read More

Psychological Safety may be misunderstood as something that is 'comfortable' when in reality it's a model for dealing with necessary dissent in a productive way.

Read More

Optionality is critical in strategic decision making and it starts with how we think

Read More

The story of how 'Crew Resource Manage' transformed airline safety and a general exploration of how teams can and should foster productive disagreement.

Read More

We often think that strategic clarity helps make a strategy more effective but it may keep people from believing in it. Strategic ambiguity is a concept that points to people needing a bit of ambiguity in the communication of a strategy. This thread talks about the benefits of strategic ambiguity and some “smells” that your strategy is too specific.

Read More

We crave certainty - and detailed plans give us a false sense of certainty. In this thread, we explore whether or not we have the cognitive toolset for planning, how we mentally 'construct' strategies, and how we update our mental models to change course when necessary.

Read More

Could OR tools such as critical path analysis, network optimization, and queuing theory have clear applications for product leaders to optimize planning, staffing, and decision-making processes?

Read More

Conviction as a superpower, why we tend to be overly optimistic, and how outcome trees help us map potential outcomes

Read More

Exploring how goals help teams make better decisions, strategic misrepresentation, and the power of 'Even Over' statements

Read More

There's quite a bit we can learn from parallels to research on social norms and how culture develops - this thread explores a piece of that 👉

Read More

This is an excerpt from a newsletter post exploring the value (if any) of bias education and whether or not optical illusions are a good way to illustrate the impact of cognitive biases - or at least our unavoidable ignorance of them.

Read More

With artificial intelligence tools 'going mainstream', we see a flood of conversations that say something like "will AI replace [role]?". This is exploring the difference in humans and machines from the perspective of decision making.

Read More

We often think of communication as a post-decisions activity, but how can bring people along for the process to help smooth over even the most unpopular decisions?

Read More

We might often think about a 'good' decision as having a positive or expected outcome, but there's so much out of our own control (luck). A good decision is the result of good dialog, processes, and communication.

Read More