Posts
This is a place where anyone can engage with the ideas, thoughts, opinions, and topics of conversation proposed by members of The Uncertainty Project.
We encourage comments and debate!

January 6, 2025

Competitive strategy demands focusing on leverage, not spreading resources thin


September 19, 2024

Anyone creating value has a customer and has competition

July 16, 2024

Strategic Decision Making with Applied Information Economics

July 1, 2024

Reframing the challenge as getting from less sure to more sure


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April 12, 2024

Noise-cancellation headphones for the organization
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April 5, 2024

Organizational behaviors that improve decision quality

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March 9, 2024

Exploring ideas at the crossroads between the rationality discourse, notions of complexity, and radical uncertainty

February 27, 2024

Some timeless principles from Don Reinertsen
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January 22, 2024

A look at how organizations construct reality, apply meaning, and make decisions
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January 4, 2024

3 challenges to help bring theory into practice
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December 15, 2023

Common themes from the learning journey
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November 4, 2023

Expanding on the product operations model with decision-centric approaches






September 29, 2023

Taking a deeper look at how OKRs influence strategic decision making (a multi-part series)
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September 7, 2023

Rituals that can create new routines for leadership teams



August 2, 2023

Taking steps to limit accidental complexity in your organization

July 19, 2023

Many teams stumble through their decision making process because they don’t make time for discourse separated from the decision point.


July 6, 2023

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Exploring the concept of behavioral nudges - subtle cues that influence behavior towards desirable outcomes by making specific options more attractive or convenient, while preserving the freedom to choose.

June 29, 2023

Taking advantage of inevitable change and adapting to improvisation

June 16, 2023

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Psychological Safety may be misunderstood as something that is 'comfortable' when in reality it's a model for dealing with necessary dissent in a productive way.

June 13, 2023

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Optionality is critical in strategic decision making and it starts with how we think


We often think that strategic clarity helps make a strategy more effective but it may keep people from believing in it. Strategic ambiguity is a concept that points to people needing a bit of ambiguity in the communication of a strategy. This thread talks about the benefits of strategic ambiguity and some “smells” that your strategy is too specific.

April 14, 2023
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We crave certainty - and detailed plans give us a false sense of certainty. In this thread, we explore whether or not we have the cognitive toolset for planning, how we mentally 'construct' strategies, and how we update our mental models to change course when necessary.

April 6, 2023

Could OR tools such as critical path analysis, network optimization, and queuing theory have clear applications for product leaders to optimize planning, staffing, and decision-making processes?

March 17, 2023

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Conviction as a superpower, why we tend to be overly optimistic, and how outcome trees help us map potential outcomes

March 2, 2023

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There's quite a bit we can learn from parallels to research on social norms and how culture develops - this thread explores a piece of that 👉

February 24, 2023

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This is an excerpt from a newsletter post exploring the value (if any) of bias education and whether or not optical illusions are a good way to illustrate the impact of cognitive biases - or at least our unavoidable ignorance of them.

February 24, 2023

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With artificial intelligence tools 'going mainstream', we see a flood of conversations that say something like "will AI replace [role]?". This is exploring the difference in humans and machines from the perspective of decision making.

February 24, 2023

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We often think of communication as a post-decisions activity, but how can bring people along for the process to help smooth over even the most unpopular decisions?
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February 24, 2023

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We might often think about a 'good' decision as having a positive or expected outcome, but there's so much out of our own control (luck). A good decision is the result of good dialog, processes, and communication.